Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
DePaul vs. Xavier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b8f63a69a84a9571a5bacac58f29366c3f880979e873794e6a1909b3c1dc9ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xavierof DePaul, Xavier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x519d…37a1backed DePaul | 1c | 1,110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…a9a7backed DePaul | 13c | 183$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…4c06backed DePaul | 13c | 156$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29e…3246backed DePaul | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…74aebacked DePaul | 13c | 99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…16f3backed Xavier | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…59f9backed DePaul | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…66acbacked DePaul | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…14aabacked Xavier | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…5cb6backed DePaul | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…56b2backed DePaul | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d3…2425backed DePaul | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…becfbacked Xavier | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…8711backed DePaul | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…f210backed Xavier | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965b…f0adbacked DePaul | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…d232backed DePaul | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113c…66f0backed DePaul | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…263cbacked Xavier | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…7fd4backed Xavier | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65dd…dc67backed Xavier | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…9397backed Xavier | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6017…e5cabacked Xavier | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…bc8cbacked DePaul | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84d…602ebacked Xavier | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cb…3fa3backed DePaul | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…4bccbacked DePaul | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…ab31backed DePaul | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…d38ebacked Xavier | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…b76fbacked Xavier | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be8…cd90backed Xavier | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…b7fabacked DePaul | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb316…98f5backed Xavier | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d0…1616backed Xavier | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…78d3backed DePaul | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e72…0deebacked Xavier | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…c536backed Xavier | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…4086backed Xavier | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…22b0backed DePaul | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…2dbabacked Xavier | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…7390backed DePaul | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…8580backed DePaul | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…8d70backed DePaul | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…5637backed Xavier | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…ca6bbacked Xavier | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…c8eebacked Xavier | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…a095backed DePaul | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…dba6backed Xavier | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5b…566fbacked Xavier | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.