Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0beb0a47c15f71370e2da37350cd804ecc7219096eaaeb71f2b4e4e2ea59ad96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIA Challengersof Dplus KIA Challengers, DN SOOPers Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54b5…2208backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 33c | 1,530$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.79 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 35c | 666.61$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.61 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…a100backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 31c | 419.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 365$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.25 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 32c | 341$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 335.33$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.96 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 67c | 325.95$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 67c | 260$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 35c | 234.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 67c | 231$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…4998backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 33c | 194.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 36c | 175.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 67c | 134.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 33c | 89.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 54c | 65.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 78c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.