TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, HOTU
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c67…e838backed HOTU1c24,126$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0812036.7%44 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked HOTU30c2,773$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.530726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BetBoom Team67c1,339$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4387,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed HOTU40c1,115$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44211240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked BetBoom Team58c949.3$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.213,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed BetBoom Team58c685.12$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.66248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team63c650.48$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.616,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked BetBoom Team68c639.16$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1862738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed HOTU29c600$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17358651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed HOTU26c599.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15938835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b8…50d8backed BetBoom Team60c578$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.26050%30 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed BetBoom Team59c531.43$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3717644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BetBoom Team64c464.51$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.94,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…9e15backed BetBoom Team72c456.84$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed BetBoom Team71c348.61$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.16654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed HOTU36c335.58$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57eb…beeabacked HOTU55c270.45$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.42853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed HOTU40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808959.6%53 W · 36 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked BetBoom Team69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6219540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked HOTU50c198.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0184037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed HOTU44c168.64$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.469635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf27e…d69dbacked HOTU39c120.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0212050.8%61 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a39…fa93backed BetBoom Team77c117.39$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.263259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed BetBoom Team59c99.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.361,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked HOTU27c81.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2218736.9%69 W · 118 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked HOTU54c75.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4122444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked BetBoom Team72c69.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed BetBoom Team58c56.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed HOTU47c56.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.741,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked HOTU27c55.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0931950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked HOTU48c55.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6341640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…ca33backed BetBoom Team49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.959826.5%26 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked HOTU40c43.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3511047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f26…5787backed BetBoom Team80c42.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed BetBoom Team74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5414547.6%69 W · 76 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed BetBoom Team50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked HOTU42c38.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed BetBoom Team58c35.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1549376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed BetBoom Team73c27.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.432443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb9…b98fbacked HOTU54c21.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.811947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ca…e1ebbacked BetBoom Team77c18.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked BetBoom Team74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6838858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BetBoom Team74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed BetBoom Team74c14.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7447053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.