Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Delaware vs. Towson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cca5811ba58faae5851e72cd60ef27286b160979a263f467c8f8178efccb3dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Towsonof Delaware, Towson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Towson | 68c | 1,663$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.5 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Delaware | 32c | 1,075$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.74 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Towson | 73c | 369.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Delaware | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Delaware | 27c | 309$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…8592backed Delaware | 25c | 129$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Delaware | 24c | 114.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…76ccbacked Towson | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Delaware | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e0…0832backed Delaware | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Towson | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Towson | 70c | 38.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…d2e8backed Towson | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…86ffbacked Towson | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…debdbacked Towson | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…04d5backed Towson | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…cb8bbacked Towson | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…5fe2backed Towson | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…330fbacked Towson | 78c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5a…286abacked Towson | 75c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…2281backed Towson | 74c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…02c2backed Towson | 74c | 13.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…a502backed Towson | 75c | 13.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.