TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Bebop vs 8Sins - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
8Sinsof Bebop, 8Sins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,762 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bebop65c1,725$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.592,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 8Sins28c1,432$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0242,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed 8Sins38c495.38$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.051,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Bebop13c481.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7513436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 8Sins48c466.02$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.956,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 8Sins36c371.81$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.43,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 8Sins49c294.22$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.967,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed 8Sins26c286.73$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7354439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Bebop17c165$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2522324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed 8Sins58c157.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6526958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed 8Sins40c121.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2680744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Bebop66c97.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3916350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Bebop25c78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.545224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Bebop61c49.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.461,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 8Sins38c36.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.912,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7f…f922backed Bebop67c29.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1c…425abacked Bebop68c24.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed 8Sins49c20.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.731,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed 8Sins54c20.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2547053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Bebop68c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1812469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.