Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNC Greensboro vs. Furman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d7f003e582fdadc9e496fabfeb83a646efb978beef070c100e5d01c5216fbeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNC Greensboroof UNC Greensboro, Furman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Furman | 60c | 339.76$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked UNC Greensboro | 40c | 255$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…8b72backed Furman | 50c | 155$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…5524backed Furman | 50c | 107$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed UNC Greensboro | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Furman | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…a33fbacked UNC Greensboro | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked UNC Greensboro | 40c | 87.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1689…a4f1backed Furman | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…e4c8backed UNC Greensboro | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed UNC Greensboro | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…bc10backed UNC Greensboro | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7d…701dbacked UNC Greensboro | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd938…362bbacked UNC Greensboro | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…c91dbacked Furman | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…d873backed Furman | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Furman | 35c | 43.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…ecf6backed UNC Greensboro | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Furman | 61c | 32.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…a43abacked UNC Greensboro | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dce…0b89backed Furman | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…2efabacked UNC Greensboro | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…4be7backed UNC Greensboro | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…855ebacked UNC Greensboro | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…440ebacked Furman | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…13c7backed Furman | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed UNC Greensboro | 76c | 27.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…024dbacked UNC Greensboro | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…d0a7backed UNC Greensboro | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de6…58d6backed UNC Greensboro | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7674…652abacked Furman | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Furman | 60c | 25.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055b…b8aabacked Furman | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…16c3backed Furman | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15d…aef0backed UNC Greensboro | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…2773backed Furman | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…cdddbacked UNC Greensboro | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…6c6cbacked Furman | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…6afebacked UNC Greensboro | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…43a9backed UNC Greensboro | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…d349backed UNC Greensboro | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…09d9backed Furman | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.