Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Tech vs. Kansas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db82ee86a03cbe6324a8b86194addc7d43a5dffd1a7ef973eee247c5a72e909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Techof Texas Tech, Kansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Kansas | 54c | 7,045$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Texas Tech | 46c | 5,724$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.94 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kansas | 69c | 2,034$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas Tech | 31c | 1,977$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.5 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Texas Tech | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…07c9backed Texas Tech | 37c | 375$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…91f1backed Texas Tech | 37c | 313$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…fa90backed Kansas | 63c | 286$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Texas Tech | 51c | 233.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Texas Tech | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…2e47backed Kansas | 63c | 189$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…cbe0backed Texas Tech | 37c | 177$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas | 37c | 163$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…200fbacked Kansas | 63c | 152$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8e…7bd4backed Kansas | 63c | 141$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Kansas | 72c | 111.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d97…537cbacked Kansas | 63c | 97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…a1e0backed Kansas | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…4964backed Texas Tech | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Texas Tech | 35c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Texas Tech | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Texas Tech | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Kansas | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…8544backed Texas Tech | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…416ebacked Texas Tech | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…fa03backed Texas Tech | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…2b0cbacked Kansas | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.