Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Commerce vs. McNeese State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dbd111a4d4ebd60d60d4ff7c2fa6779bb98935cd50f3d891f16ca70df896cd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNeese Stateof Texas A&M Commerce, McNeese State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 6c | 418.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…0f06backed Texas A&M Commerce | 38c | 87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…fc5abacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…b2cbbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 41c | 79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…d80cbacked McNeese State | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…2713backed McNeese State | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd16…7467backed McNeese State | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…7738backed McNeese State | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…8213backed Texas A&M Commerce | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9b…b5febacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6341…5b26backed McNeese State | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…2275backed Texas A&M Commerce | 73c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…2253backed McNeese State | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…f322backed McNeese State | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…6720backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103a…8d1abacked McNeese State | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…51d6backed Texas A&M Commerce | 56c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…3e85backed Texas A&M Commerce | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…bb70backed Texas A&M Commerce | 73c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…1227backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ee9fbacked McNeese State | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x262e…69e9backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…1462backed Texas A&M Commerce | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.