South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e0feff4763005d1ce266b2e987d98c115d3166b5dc1790994cec372723a09a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 36c | 3,866$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.84 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 2,648$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 1,717$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.94 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed No | 2c | 1,387$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 71c | 1,130$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.3 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 1,055$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.46 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 50c | 1,001$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.41 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 665.12$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.15 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 647.08$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 158.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 72c | 138.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 130.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed No | 22c | 101.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 71c | 98.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 85.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed No | 69c | 84.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 12c | 84.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Yes | 31c | 67.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 57c | 67.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 34c | 63.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 58.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 55.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…7437backed No | 71c | 43.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 49c | 40.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 65c | 38.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…2bfdbacked Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 58c | 23.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…0a90backed Yes | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.