Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee07583ce927d25f6bab433ca97f6a39c67ad8bec7b140c34e2f8dca77a4624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Khaleej Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,180 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1244…c851backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 71c | 981.69$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe150…6874backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 506$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…9294backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 439$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…afedbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 403$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f11…2efbbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 381$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbe…13cfbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 360$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…0d09backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 329$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…f960backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 269$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…6864backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 266$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…e8a8backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 260$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…c4b5backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 256$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…7a75backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 256$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…b810backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 252$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…d3a9backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…3374backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 241$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…c564backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 227$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b2…576ebacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 225$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…acf5backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 214$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…3949backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 210$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35df…87b2backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 209$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…a09abacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…63cdbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 198$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…84c3backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 198$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd796…7f23backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 197$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…dfa8backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 190$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9072…8a51backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 187$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…0a80backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 181$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 29c | 179.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a01…8286backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 168$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…429abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 166$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…b93abacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 156$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fe…f73dbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 155$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4efe…0218backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 148$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cd…8dcdbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 144$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…3433backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 144$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 25c | 141.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…f3ddbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 72c | 138$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…be0abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 28c | 131$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 33c | 123.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 25c | 121.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 75c | 82.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 73c | 74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 71c | 42.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 74c | 20.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.