CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f94851890ef542143ae0298b4155a7df1a1ca4760fcbe4db06effaa4be9996e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3f…2a94backed Over | 4c | 5,400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 53c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Over | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 58c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard Academy vs ALGO Esports (BO3)Wildcard Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.