Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Davis Aggies vs. Pepperdine Waves (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb15dd582e03f48132cfba4e6489be8eae9519a4b4b25c66d47902479a85e93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pepperdine Wavesof UC Davis Aggies, Pepperdine Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked UC Davis Aggies | 28c | 861.32$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Pepperdine Waves | 71c | 709.82$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.85 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Davis Aggies | 29c | 536.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 28c | 435.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Pepperdine Waves | 73c | 421.92$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Pepperdine Waves | 71c | 332$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pepperdine Waves | 73c | 243.68$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Pepperdine Waves | 70c | 241.45$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed UC Davis Aggies | 30c | 169.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Davis Aggies | 28c | 121.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…4847backed Pepperdine Waves | 72c | 118.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pepperdine Waves | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Pepperdine Waves | 71c | 50.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed UC Davis Aggies | 29c | 49.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed UC Davis Aggies | 29c | 36.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed UC Davis Aggies | 30c | 33.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 71c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…f59abacked Pepperdine Waves | 73c | 13.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.