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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Vantex Esports vs The Otter Side - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
The Otter Sideof Vantex Esports, The Otter Side
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked The Otter Side56c1,433$796 inWon+$636.772,84541.4%1,178 W · 1,667 L-14.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Vantex Esports45c967.7$432 inLost-$432.066328.6%18 W · 45 L-11.1wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Vantex Esports51c234.98$120 inLost-$119.8446153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Vantex Esports45c130.64$58 inLost-$58.3912639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed The Otter Side59c110.14$65 inWon+$45.3441164.5%265 W · 146 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Vantex Esports50c99.48$50 inLost-$5060042.2%253 W · 347 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed The Otter Side56c87$48 inWon+$38.6777349.4%382 W · 391 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked The Otter Side65c27.84$18 inWon+$9.742,38841%978 W · 1,410 L-56.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.