Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e59e664c514940292d060474d4a7925e219260b600c3359b92aeb6b5afbb0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOSof Vivo Keyd Stars, LOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 32c | 1,304$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.39 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed LOS | 69c | 435.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 31c | 327.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed LOS | 69c | 260.23$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed LOS | 68c | 219.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed LOS | 68c | 194.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LOS | 67c | 173.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked LOS | 68c | 117.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked LOS | 68c | 95.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked LOS | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked LOS | 69c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked LOS | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)LOS won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsLOS won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 3 WinnerLOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.