Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113c17bbbf6547167eb7edfd63d2f5f0a35706a3f57fc872f44e492915dd6ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf353…b287backed Over | 2c | 507.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 58c | 491.18$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.39 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 230.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Over | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Under | 62c | 137.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 51c | 92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e96…5bcdbacked Under | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 45c | 44.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…6610backed Under | 63c | 38.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 55c | 33.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…2e1fbacked Under | 62c | 27.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3)JD Gaming won
- LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.