Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Martin vs. Eastern Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113ee48ce2da760d31105f76a6b59c27f6315a9497f77c56c4259f20b798d563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Martinof UT Martin, Eastern Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Eastern Illinois | 54c | 697.04$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.64 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UT Martin | 46c | 690$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…2dc0backed UT Martin | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c97…5b08backed Eastern Illinois | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c1…170fbacked UT Martin | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…1462backed Eastern Illinois | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…926dbacked Eastern Illinois | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…760abacked Eastern Illinois | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6c…efd8backed UT Martin | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…36cdbacked UT Martin | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…6ba8backed UT Martin | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…0ec1backed Eastern Illinois | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed UT Martin | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c4…cad9backed Eastern Illinois | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…74aebacked Eastern Illinois | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…c991backed UT Martin | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…9d15backed Eastern Illinois | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d95…4fe1backed Eastern Illinois | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…02e0backed UT Martin | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.