Cricket · resolved market
India vs. Sri Lanka - 2nd Cricket T20I Match
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1157394c9fad1a13f16bd2f8a9e9bf9d9ab8ff6eabfcee197972d701119ed25f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiaof Sri Lanka, India
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37a8…8966backed Sri Lanka | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Sri Lanka | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed India | 74c | 1,466$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +216.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…197cbacked Sri Lanka | 22c | 1,368$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked India | 80c | 1,238$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…fc5ebacked India | 77c | 373.91$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193f…efeabacked India | 70c | 316.71$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…4700backed Sri Lanka | 33c | 303.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Sri Lanka | 26c | 299.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed India | 74c | 236.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…53f2backed India | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Sri Lanka | 17c | 140.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…a8b7backed India | 74c | 114.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3a…1ab8backed India | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…4a81backed Sri Lanka | 26c | 97.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked India | 72c | 94.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked India | 74c | 70.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…f9e9backed Sri Lanka | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…017cbacked Sri Lanka | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…909ebacked India | 73c | 52.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked India | 67c | 50.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…0ab0backed India | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…5738backed India | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd838…6104backed India | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…0f1dbacked India | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…b23bbacked India | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a9eebacked India | 73c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…ba8abacked India | 75c | 16.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.