TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Albany vs. Vermont

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vermontof Albany, Vermont
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ada…2f28backed Vermont56c368$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8820548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a7c…19e1backed Albany26c224$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Albany28c179.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.960551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafda…d128backed Vermont50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Vermont66c157$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.383158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5228…268abacked Albany20c155$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…4964backed Albany26c112$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Albany38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3818850%94 W · 94 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x313b…dd02backed Albany35c99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8794…8d95backed Albany20c96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe334…61fdbacked Albany23c95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe102…0d3dbacked Albany26c92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa20b…716fbacked Vermont50c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9510…b8e3backed Vermont74c89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10c…819fbacked Albany20c87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeab…a845backed Albany50c86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6357…9d92backed Vermont74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+60%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed4…4d86backed Vermont77c77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3267…56cabacked Vermont72c76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f22…3c3dbacked Vermont50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0116…88cabacked Albany27c69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8205…0bfabacked Albany26c69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…2e1abacked Albany25c69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0895…1ef9backed Albany28c68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.04333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c5…75e3backed Albany28c66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c2…e578backed Albany27c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3bf…9e3bbacked Albany27c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Vermont63c62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.911,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0b…c79fbacked Albany23c61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c2…b042backed Albany28c61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc465…a7fcbacked Vermont74c61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccef…8f75backed Albany26c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce8…b98dbacked Vermont65c54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db9…a73abacked Albany35c53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef7…5b06backed Vermont74c51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf2…9293backed Albany28c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f1…3f30backed Vermont80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe38…5774backed Vermont65c49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa2…03febacked Vermont65c47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ecb…5475backed Albany35c46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cdc…e3bbbacked Albany35c46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…903cbacked Albany32c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7112…c252backed Vermont73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Albany34c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9634842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf6…8bf4backed Albany35c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ec…e8dabacked Albany35c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…d2c7backed Albany32c43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…73a0backed Albany35c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb62…870dbacked Albany35c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0768…c358backed Albany35c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe687…5006backed Albany35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd4…38e0backed Albany35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbe…1cf3backed Albany50c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2203…1c36backed Albany26c39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd310…2203backed Albany35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe88…7f82backed Vermont72c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+80.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2034…6549backed Vermont72c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93e5…e7e7backed Albany35c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c0…ad29backed Albany35c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x603f…dc31backed Albany28c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x354e…dd57backed Albany50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1a…09a9backed Albany35c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x619b…dfc5backed Albany50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa122…7647backed Albany50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…3a37backed Vermont65c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4336…2e8fbacked Vermont74c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4a…52dbbacked Vermont65c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…088bbacked Vermont80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…0822backed Vermont74c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c0c…16afbacked Vermont65c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…77cdbacked Albany50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e9…16a8backed Vermont74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc85…839dbacked Vermont80c31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0710…143dbacked Vermont74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaab…2344backed Vermont50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a36…b329backed Vermont68c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec3…981dbacked Vermont73c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+78.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbf…5ba9backed Albany50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d4…8295backed Vermont50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa417…d778backed Vermont50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf678…8b82backed Albany50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaed4…6af2backed Vermont72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c3…19a0backed Albany50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6837…843cbacked Albany50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a01…bef5backed Vermont75c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+133.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7b…353ebacked Albany50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7e…04d8backed Vermont74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e2…29b6backed Vermont65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…8824backed Vermont72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef1…be82backed Vermont73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…df92backed Vermont65c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6289…8e60backed Vermont80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…480dbacked Vermont65c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf72…ee1abacked Vermont73c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…7f77backed Vermont65c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccb…e9f5backed Vermont74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeede…18c7backed Vermont74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f21…22f8backed Vermont78c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1a…5c53backed Vermont73c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048d…356abacked Vermont73c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.