Tennis · resolved market
San Luis Potosi: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Ivan Marrero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11a3d9be7c25e887374799b18e1f56de32414aeb47e76e1167ba5d141f6227d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Pablo Ficovichof Juan Pablo Ficovich, Ivan Marrero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ivan Marrero | 7c | 11,162$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.06 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ivan Marrero | 2c | 4,313$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ivan Marrero | 9c | 2,685$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ivan Marrero | 6c | 1,215$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Ivan Marrero | 17c | 1,096$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…bdb8backed Ivan Marrero | 15c | 960$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 152 | 63.8%97 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ivan Marrero | 15c | 949$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Ivan Marrero | 6c | 583.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…43c1backed Ivan Marrero | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Ivan Marrero | 14c | 415.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Ivan Marrero | 17c | 303.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Ivan Marrero | 16c | 284.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…b6b9backed Ivan Marrero | 11c | 238.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ivan Marrero | 14c | 221.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Ivan Marrero | 17c | 157.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked Ivan Marrero | 16c | 87.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ivan Marrero | 13c | 80.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Ivan Marrero | 18c | 73.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ivan Marrero | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 79c | 16.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.