Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. UTEP Miners: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11c1de1cc25b8c0d835089acec08e03cf3a15a81b59c6bcb7435815e74413b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 52c | 2,581$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.2 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 56c | 462.61$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.89 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 403.37$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 366.82$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 292.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 52c | 257.92$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 54c | 183.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 22c | 151.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Over | 46c | 94.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…f9d5backed Over | 48c | 94.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 47c | 89.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 37c | 69.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 55.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 57c | 54.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 61c | 42.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 51c | 38.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Over | 44c | 36.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 43c | 33.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 54c | 27.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 27.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 55c | 26.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. UTEP Miners: O/U 139.5this page
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. UTEP MinersJacksonville State Gamecocks won
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. UTEP Miners: O/U 136.5Under won
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. UTEP Miners: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Jacksonville State Gamecocks (-1.5)Jacksonville State Gamecocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.