Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern vs. Alabama State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d82fbd97435ae32bc2247d2695dc8870a553e43c8e258216efe4ee132f6768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Stateof Southern, Alabama State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Alabama State | 42c | 1,377$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.4 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Southern | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Southern | 56c | 604.99$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Alabama State | 47c | 213.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Alabama State | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b4…4f8cbacked Southern | 60c | 73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…f6bfbacked Alabama State | 40c | 73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…566dbacked Alabama State | 41c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…e36cbacked Southern | 59c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…05edbacked Alabama State | 61c | 39.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Southern | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Southern | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65b…9c71backed Southern | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…5960backed Alabama State | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…f71abacked Southern | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…2fb0backed Southern | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0d35backed Southern | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…d5c4backed Southern | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394f…b4fcbacked Southern | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…dd92backed Southern | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…2545backed Southern | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…ce1dbacked Southern | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…2409backed Southern | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.