Tennis · resolved market
Winnipeg: Millen Hurrion vs Liam Draxl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11eb35fcf93f8271b783a35e6a105ffa9b64830aeb6836465782d1b6a1c84b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liam Draxlof Millen Hurrion, Liam Draxl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Millen Hurrion | 14c | 738.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…f460backed Millen Hurrion | 19c | 684.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Millen Hurrion | 20c | 674$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Millen Hurrion | 17c | 520$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Millen Hurrion | 23c | 217.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Millen Hurrion | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Liam Draxl | 76c | 94.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Millen Hurrion | 18c | 60.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Liam Draxl | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Liam Draxl | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Liam Draxl | 78c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Liam Draxl | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Liam Draxl | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Liam Draxl | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Liam Draxl | 77c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.