Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team 6seven vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12423ee771e30cd44fa6686067019e36daf09e5e98bcd4a4caf65dd602a7be62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team 6sevenof Team 6seven, Yangon Galacticos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 3,065$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.74 | 392 | 46.2%181 W · 211 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yangon Galacticos | 30c | 2,201$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.94 | 970 | 42.2%409 W · 561 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Team 6seven | 71c | 1,480$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.2 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…54b6backed Team 6seven | 54c | 954.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Team 6seven | 68c | 686.63$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.68 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Yangon Galacticos | 52c | 574.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 482 | 53.9%260 W · 222 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Team 6seven | 65c | 462.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 65c | 460.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team 6seven | 47c | 453.97$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.74 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…0620backed Team 6seven | 50c | 421.8$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Team 6seven | 65c | 413.19$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yangon Galacticos | 41c | 387.66$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.29 | 2,835 | 43.6%1,237 W · 1,598 L | -39.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked Team 6seven | 53c | 368.51$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Yangon Galacticos | 29c | 302.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Team 6seven | 46c | 220$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…4d40backed Team 6seven | 71c | 212.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team 6seven | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 98 | 64.3%63 W · 35 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Team 6seven | 47c | 174.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team 6seven | 48c | 173.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 1,723 | 41.3%711 W · 1,012 L | -43.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa058…c0ddbacked Yangon Galacticos | 31c | 165.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team 6seven | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team 6seven | 47c | 107.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 286 | 41.3%118 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 52c | 101.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 11c | 97.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Yangon Galacticos | 48c | 83.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 833 | 45.1%376 W · 457 L | -28.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Yangon Galacticos | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 319 | 50.8%162 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team 6seven | 30c | 33.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed Yangon Galacticos | 46c | 32.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -17.5wins | -0.35per pick | 45cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x2e89…2d4ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 34c | 29.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Team 6seven | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team 6seven vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team 6seven vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 PlayoffsTeam 6seven won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.