Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California vs. Georgia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x128ea00efcacbd9211838632e01c380650f8ac8d8822d5d4a87ab7e77574429d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Techof California, Georgia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed California | 31c | 690$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Georgia Tech | 69c | 661.26$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked California | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Georgia Tech | 60c | 268.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…760abacked Georgia Tech | 50c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…f730backed Georgia Tech | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…baf5backed California | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…1e26backed California | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…a66bbacked California | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…2bb4backed Georgia Tech | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2406…f7adbacked Georgia Tech | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ce…ea9abacked California | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…718abacked California | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…2ed4backed California | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7059…5754backed Georgia Tech | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…1a0abacked Georgia Tech | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…8fbebacked California | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Georgia Tech | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ef…de92backed Georgia Tech | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf448…496dbacked California | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Georgia Tech | 39c | 28.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…85c4backed California | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa298…5666backed Georgia Tech | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…5449backed Georgia Tech | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b76…0847backed California | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218c…a2a7backed Georgia Tech | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…f382backed Georgia Tech | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.