Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1346137d1691905143aa09a867976de7fa1e8e710ed74d3dfb152423bd2eb710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,757 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 44c | 14,043$6,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,794.22 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 13,935$7,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,732.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 55c | 180.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…adf9backed Over | 47c | 149.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 87.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 55c | 54.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 59c | 49.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 54c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 156.5this page
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State Cowboys won
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 153.5Over won
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 154.5Over won
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 155.5Over won
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 160.5Over won
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 166.5Under won
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 168.5Under won
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-4.5)Davidson Wildcats won
- Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-6.5)Davidson Wildcats won
- Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-7.5)Davidson Wildcats won
- Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-8.5)Davidson Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.