CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x134b7ac9e84c14e2e7d394b836f1d2a6441cfcae8087fda255e9c4ac43f9b3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Noir Verse, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x406e…5378backed Noir Verse | 25c | 1,047$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 587 | 43.4%255 W · 332 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Noir Verse | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…1b8abacked Noir Verse | 43c | 230.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Noir Verse | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 191.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 142$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Noir Verse | 29c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 130.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed Noir Verse | 47c | 116.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 716 | 51%365 W · 351 L | +28.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Noir Verse | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 96.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Noir Verse | 26c | 88.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 82.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 81.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 485 | 43.1%209 W · 276 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 37.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Bushido Wildcats | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 597 | 32.2%192 W · 405 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 24.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 671 | 47.1%316 W · 355 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsNoir Verse won
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerNoir Verse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.