Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-22.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13f09c660aa6a566563908b8c7acd8bf73798d767c65d090a0915ee2dce00a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulsa Golden Hurricaneof Tulsa Golden Hurricane, UTSA Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 51,229$25,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,114.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 31,916$16,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,247.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 24,781$12,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,626.3 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.44 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 3,392$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UTSA Roadrunners | 58c | 1,063$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.34 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 42c | 1,050$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 50c | 997.2$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.6 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 50c | 544.3$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 410.61$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 301.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 255.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 52c | 234.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…1f54backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…744ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 176.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 50c | 152.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 118.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 50c | 99.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 52c | 70.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 52c | 66.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed UTSA Roadrunners | 39c | 59.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…6d60backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 50c | 56.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7246backed UTSA Roadrunners | 51c | 51.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 51.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 51c | 40.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…44a2backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 52c | 38.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed UTSA Roadrunners | 52c | 34.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 52c | 30.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…3c57backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf942…b11cbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed UTSA Roadrunners | 53c | 26.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 46c | 24.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-22.5)this page
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa Golden Hurricane won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 158.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.