Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: Afghanistan vs Scotland (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x153a75e5a553ae67a73234ffefa33e598294976b4363d2a7e282e9811c242ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Afghanistanof Afghanistan, Scotland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Scotland | 0c | 7,817$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…57a6backed Scotland | 10c | 5,694$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.36 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Scotland | 13c | 2,041$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Scotland | 11c | 856.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 66 | 9.1%6 W · 60 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Scotland | 25c | 847.59$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.04 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba44…269abacked Scotland | 11c | 799.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Scotland | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Scotland | 15c | 380$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Scotland | 11c | 368$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Scotland | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…5dcfbacked Scotland | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Scotland | 16c | 242$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…56a2backed Scotland | 9c | 216.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Scotland | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Scotland | 15c | 195$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Scotland | 11c | 187.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Scotland | 13c | 176.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…6553backed Scotland | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- International T20 Series: Afghanistan vs Scotland (Game 1)this page
- International T20 Series: Afghanistan vs Scotland (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?Afghanistan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.