Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC vs. Rutgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x161f9087a926d4bfe7ca399fabdae481d7a817e82af470f5ad633922435e811e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgersof USC, Rutgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed USC | 37c | 2,977$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.65 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rutgers | 66c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rutgers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked USC | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rutgers | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…eefabacked USC | 39c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9000…7ad1backed Rutgers | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6920…fe75backed Rutgers | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003c…600abacked USC | 39c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…4f03backed Rutgers | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…dd1ebacked Rutgers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…d9adbacked USC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f3…f559backed USC | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36e…ca8dbacked USC | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…bef3backed Rutgers | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rutgers | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…d28abacked Rutgers | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.