Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos 2: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Paul Jubb
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x165979da0f18b4671eca0455d5443226fc5e710ccc5f063aaa23c33e6484b038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paul Jubbof Pavlos Tsitsipas, Paul Jubb
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,567 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 1c | 1,447$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 2c | 1,254$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 10c | 1,188$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 4c | 1,017$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 5c | 986.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…d42ebacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 7c | 828.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 6c | 598.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 7c | 528.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 4c | 333.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 8c | 274.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…75dabacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 6c | 268.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 6c | 226$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 5c | 215.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 6c | 167.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 11c | 150.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…f01cbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 8c | 149.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos 2: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Paul Jubbthis page
- Pavlos Tsitsipas vs. Paul Jubb: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs JubbJubb won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.