Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x165ff6119292dfdb455d6513d9b06e330d1cb4320bdb156edd8a11d731f53647
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 67c | 249$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 67c | 162$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 67c | 123$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 33c | 73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 67c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 33c | 59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 33c | 56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 55.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 33c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 33c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 33c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 31c | 37.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 73c | 34.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 46c | 34.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Over | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 70c | 30.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 67c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…5dc5backed Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.