TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fancy United vs Oasis Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Fancy Unitedof Fancy United, Oasis Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,982 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa39…bb64backed Fancy United67c690.69$463 inWon+$227.264067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Oasis Gaming25c555.67$139 inLost-$139.381,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Oasis Gaming56c433.6$243 inLost-$242.829371%66 W · 27 L+15.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked Fancy United62c250$155 inWon+$952857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Oasis Gaming33c60.61$20 inLost-$2027360.1%164 W · 109 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d2…86e7backed Fancy United75c53.26$40 inWon+$13.251471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcae…2397backed Fancy United74c35.87$26 inWon+$9.39785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Fancy United75c26.72$20 inWon+$6.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Fancy United75c20.81$16 inWon+$5.23644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.