CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b569dea3a9aae25a3fe1e8705823959e72282d7285b449d7862d88768cb9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed ShindeN | 56c | 8,975$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.78 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Game Hunters | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed Game Hunters | 44c | 1,290$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.8 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Game Hunters | 45c | 806.71$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.02 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Game Hunters | 43c | 610.64$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Game Hunters | 43c | 593$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Game Hunters | 43c | 591.69$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.43 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked Game Hunters | 45c | 489.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Game Hunters | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Game Hunters | 44c | 271$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Game Hunters | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Game Hunters | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Game Hunters | 45c | 202.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Game Hunters | 46c | 158.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Game Hunters | 45c | 127.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Game Hunters | 52c | 56.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed ShindeN | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Game Hunters | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.