South American Leagues · resolved market
Barcelona SC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175080a91084abe13d0647b108f1983f7eac21df10282df40548be0a61dbaead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 46c | 7,607$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.4 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 6,610$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.14 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 2,907$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.27 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,912$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 67c | 1,909$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.14 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Under | 26c | 809.8$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 657.18$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.31 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Under | 3c | 550.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,288.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 56c | 522.62$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 443.64$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 239.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 62c | 195.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 176.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 64c | 153.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 65c | 150.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 99.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 54c | 87.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 64.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 35c | 62.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 62c | 55.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 34c | 55.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 53.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Under | 56c | 46.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 29c | 38.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 35c | 35.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d93abacked Over | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 53c | 31.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Under | 43c | 26.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…fb4abacked Over | 43c | 24.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 55c | 19.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…08a7backed Over | 61c | 16.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona SC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5this page
- Barcelona SC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Barcelona SC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Barcelona SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.