TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e73…b24cbacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…affbbacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x951c…97d8backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885735.1%20 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x950b…6d88backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdddc…3ab5backed Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906346%29 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7458…2f77backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8119…59debacked Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160e…cf5fbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc59f…7e2fbacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9c1…a01ebacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafff…bba8backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x090f…60b0backed Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc185…4d8abacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…53b6backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886041.7%25 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc386…0bf2backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ed…5894backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d2f…2999backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d4a…eb4abacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x738f…6adfbacked Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906137.7%23 W · 38 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc82…2a56backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78cf…19c8backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886139.3%24 W · 37 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe481…6cbebacked Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905837.9%22 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07d7…37f8backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7b…c424backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40bd…b385backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf188…4fcfbacked Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ecf…3ecebacked Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…f21abacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886250%31 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…d45dbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ea…552abacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ba…6ecabacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0f…0e35backed Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6d…ff31backed Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff1f…caefbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb83e…7498backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e39…590fbacked Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x658b…5f8dbacked Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a9…3944backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c56…bbaabacked Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906139.3%24 W · 37 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04a5…bae0backed Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906437.5%24 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0afb…b604backed Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906040%24 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9878…e3dfbacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886051.7%31 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9c…a37abacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28f8…7833backed Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cde…8759backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93e7…4161backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc72a…b6d2backed Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…0d37backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886339.7%25 W · 38 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa77a…60cebacked Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454e…e492backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8c…6a3fbacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd777…efc0backed Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…d237backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd36d…5e71backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9933…45a6backed Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab0…15edbacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886442.2%27 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2493…b565backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f7…7644backed Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906229%18 W · 44 L-12.7wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x883a…0467backed Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8091…515ebacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b13…8f6bbacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a8…15dfbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886050%30 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a9…1717backed Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80b5…0dd3backed Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905541.8%23 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc70e…9168backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0953…8671backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f8…944ebacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x235f…29ddbacked Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3163…7603backed Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x809c…3601backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886162.3%38 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f5…4a6cbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886443.8%28 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf436…c752backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bdc…6d24backed Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906035%21 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98c7…025ebacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9000…f7b9backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886232.3%20 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x06a0…a754backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff85…a940backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8d…bbcdbacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c78…1fd9backed Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb79…84a0backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a67…be7ebacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886360.3%38 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35de…1087backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c31…a2ddbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886450%32 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25da…480dbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7540…85fbbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff70…5667backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…ebb6backed Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…4912backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd3…4902backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe518…ecdabacked Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2a…e16dbacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ce…1964backed Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf953…657bbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ec…b5ddbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5781…d069backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x893c…4394backed Clippers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9074…800fbacked Thunder55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3897…0edcbacked Thunder56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f71…9c6fbacked Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885850%29 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e46…0789backed Clippers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.