Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17d092b5f5e5de3039ed07c77dc75a5c7c7b0e4ab873c311fe5e1f90ce287752
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,482 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,465$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.12 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed No | 76c | 1,352$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,135$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.81 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 1,075$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 19c | 989.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 964.53$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 858.26$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 727$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…1b73backed Yes | 17c | 295.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…8980backed Yes | 16c | 156.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 146.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 16c | 141$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 77c | 124.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 24c | 119.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…09a8backed No | 78c | 109$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 23c | 73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 20c | 60.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…517ebacked Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 38.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…6bf8backed No | 77c | 33.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.