Tennis · resolved market
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x180c30ff50630b51d465af67287e463c966634be2d988625bc769818b2019557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Karolina Muchova, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,161,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,293,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,161,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5a2…6dd9backed Naomi Osaka | 60c | 166,140$98,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,902.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3e…a19abacked Naomi Osaka | 55c | 96,190$52,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,905.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…247abacked Karolina Muchova | 42c | 71,749$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,748.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Naomi Osaka | 24c | 34,809$8,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,270.82 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Karolina Muchova | 41c | 30,065$12,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,839.1 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Karolina Muchova | 71c | 27,787$19,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,084.44 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Naomi Osaka | 48c | 26,428$12,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,763 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Naomi Osaka | 25c | 22,985$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.91 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Karolina Muchova | 39c | 21,637$8,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,198.27 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Karolina Muchova | 43c | 20,812$8,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,863.03 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Naomi Osaka | 61c | 16,210$9,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,877.78 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Karolina Muchova | 44c | 14,078$6,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,865.19 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karolina Muchova | 42c | 13,767$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,940.08 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 13,750$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Karolina Muchova | 40c | 12,219$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,331.15 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Naomi Osaka | 45c | 12,048$5,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,463.12 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Karolina Muchova | 41c | 11,808$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,016.99 | 787 | 36%283 W · 504 L | +36.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 11,745$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,046.8 | 770 | 46.9%361 W · 409 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Karolina Muchova | 45c | 11,147$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,146.44 | 3,731 | 45.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Naomi Osaka | 31c | 10,170$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.57 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Karolina Muchova | 75c | 9,354$7,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.01 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 8,888$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -10.3wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Karolina Muchova | 44c | 7,894$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,437.92 | 2,548 | 38.5%982 W · 1,566 L | +96.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Naomi Osaka | 56c | 7,800$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.99 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Karolina Muchova | 44c | 7,166$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.11 | 355 | 57.5%204 W · 151 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Naomi Osaka | 60c | 6,935$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.65 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Karolina Muchova | 48c | 6,762$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.51 | 943 | 40.7%384 W · 559 L | -30.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 6,457$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.7 | 1,163 | 41.5%483 W · 680 L | +26.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 6,118$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.8 | 1,449 | 28.4%412 W · 1,037 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 6,084$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.1 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Naomi Osaka | 38c | 5,965$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.8 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Karolina Muchova | 73c | 5,833$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Naomi Osaka | 58c | 5,028$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.81 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Naomi Osaka | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 372 | 44.4%165 W · 207 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Karolina Muchova | 39c | 5,000$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.5 | 791 | 40.7%322 W · 469 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Karolina Muchova | 38c | 4,801$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.73 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Karolina Muchova | 52c | 4,737$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.66 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…5d1abacked Karolina Muchova | 43c | 4,513$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Karolina Muchova | 70c | 4,157$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.7 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Naomi Osaka | 62c | 4,049$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Naomi Osaka | 58c | 3,960$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311 | 1,286 | 56.8%731 W · 555 L | -16.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Karolina Muchova | 77c | 3,920$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.07 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Karolina Muchova | 42c | 3,854$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.08 | 1,588 | 42.3%672 W · 916 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Naomi Osaka | 59c | 3,729$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Naomi Osaka | 39c | 3,658$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 886 | 37%328 W · 558 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…46ddbacked Karolina Muchova | 75c | 3,437$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 3,253$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.8 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Karolina Muchova | 41c | 2,948$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.51 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Karolina Muchova | 39c | 2,910$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.01 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Karolina Muchova | 41c | 2,816$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.74 | 1,091 | 52.5%573 W · 518 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Karolina Muchova | 75c | 2,784$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.78 | 2,153 | 54.1%1,165 W · 988 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Karolina Muchova | 75c | 2,782$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.6 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Karolina Muchova | 42c | 2,765$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.93 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Naomi Osaka | 4c | 2,673$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | +43.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…348fbacked Naomi Osaka | 50c | 2,572$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Naomi Osaka | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Karolina Muchova | 54c | 2,456$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.58 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…bdbdbacked Naomi Osaka | 57c | 2,412$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Naomi Osaka | 20c | 2,339$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.58 | 582 | 40%233 W · 349 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Naomi Osaka | 59c | 2,300$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Naomi Osaka | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 233 | 43.8%102 W · 131 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Karolina Muchova | 42c | 2,275$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.72 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Karolina Muchova | 74c | 2,220$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.12 | 4,277 | 45%1,925 W · 2,352 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Naomi Osaka | 59c | 2,187$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.63 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Karolina Muchova | 78c | 2,175$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.21 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Karolina Muchova | 40c | 2,147$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.26 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Naomi Osaka | 35c | 2,089$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.99 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Naomi Osaka | 12c | 2,044$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Karolina Muchova | 41c | 2,002$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Karolina Muchova | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 431 | 42%181 W · 250 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Naomi Osaka | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Naomi Osaka | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 395 | 38%150 W · 245 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Karolina Muchova | 49c | 1,986$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.77 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 1,976$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.93 | 1,889 | 44.8%846 W · 1,043 L | +36.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Naomi Osaka | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 686 | 39.2%269 W · 417 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 1,801$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Karolina Muchova | 76c | 1,799$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.92 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Karolina Muchova | 73c | 1,797$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.52 | 384 | 66.7%256 W · 128 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Karolina Muchova | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Karolina Muchova | 45c | 1,705$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.5 | 505 | 42.4%214 W · 291 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Karolina Muchova | 39c | 1,642$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.1 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Naomi Osaka | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 492 | 56.3%277 W · 215 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Naomi Osaka | 35c | 1,583$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Karolina Muchova | 44c | 1,577$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.27 | 341 | 37.5%128 W · 213 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…b05ebacked Naomi Osaka | 27c | 1,496$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Karolina Muchova | 43c | 1,477$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.04 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…8d71backed Naomi Osaka | 23c | 1,448$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Karolina Muchova | 42c | 1,385$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.9 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Karolina Muchova | 41c | 1,370$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.3 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Karolina Muchova | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 477 | 39%186 W · 291 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Karolina Muchova | 45c | 1,327$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.08 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Naomi Osaka | 60c | 1,316$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Karolina Muchova | 40c | 1,253$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.5 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…3aa4backed Naomi Osaka | 59c | 1,227$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Naomi Osaka | 24c | 1,216$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.23 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Naomi Osaka | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…354dbacked Naomi Osaka | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Karolina Muchova | 42c | 1,196$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.34 | 2,223 | 36.9%821 W · 1,402 L | +40.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs OsakaMuchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.