Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1812591103326b30a52ae83a74b4f125e1c96c3bf93b9e2d00eed903334d49f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Michiganof Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ea3…48afbacked Central Michigan | 56c | 715$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…ba55backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 408$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb808…3710backed Central Michigan | 57c | 196$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…54d8backed Central Michigan | 57c | 172$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…1e40backed Eastern Michigan | 43c | 156$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…49a0backed Eastern Michigan | 43c | 156$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…2434backed Central Michigan | 56c | 145$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…1717backed Eastern Michigan | 43c | 129$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…5fbdbacked Eastern Michigan | 43c | 114$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…7a30backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…ffe0backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…54b2backed Central Michigan | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…1c13backed Central Michigan | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…ad4dbacked Central Michigan | 57c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…d3adbacked Eastern Michigan | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f6…3c85backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fc…7ec3backed Eastern Michigan | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d35…4e86backed Eastern Michigan | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Central Michigan | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…0457backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…9693backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735e…1e97backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b7…f720backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…f170backed Eastern Michigan | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…0513backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…faacbacked Central Michigan | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…ef1dbacked Central Michigan | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…6844backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…80e9backed Central Michigan | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…9123backed Central Michigan | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.