CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189040bc6022ceec1405d1b926921895f91629f67c265b73b4c4cc2538afe4e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Vasco Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 64c | 2,306$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.95 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vasco Esports | 36c | 1,200$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Vasco Esports | 36c | 901.95$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.03 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Keyd | 61c | 751.13$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.45 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Vasco Esports | 38c | 652.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.35 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vasco Esports | 36c | 600.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Vasco Esports | 36c | 399.9$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Vasco Esports | 32c | 336.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vasco Esports | 36c | 281.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vasco Esports | 12c | 250.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Vasco Esports | 8c | 186.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Vasco Esports | 39c | 184.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Keyd | 61c | 149.53$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Keyd | 69c | 137.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…be3ebacked Keyd | 66c | 89.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Vasco Esports | 39c | 83.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Vasco Esports | 40c | 78.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Keyd | 60c | 74.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Keyd | 63c | 60.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Keyd | 67c | 58.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vasco Esports | 35c | 50.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Vasco Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Vasco Esports | 40c | 41.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Vasco Esports | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Keyd | 62c | 38.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Vasco Esports | 35c | 37.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Vasco Esports | 42c | 35.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…2775backed Vasco Esports | 39c | 35.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…3328backed Keyd | 63c | 30.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vasco Esports | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Keyd | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Vasco Esports | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.