Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Binghamton vs. UMBC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x193a7db1002d9040354b615dd0fca2c294e7cb67a921c387e0b8befc19a31493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UMBCof Binghamton, UMBC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d61…31ddbacked Binghamton | 1c | 1,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Binghamton | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked UMBC | 61c | 364.53$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Binghamton | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8f…d3ecbacked UMBC | 65c | 47.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…104dbacked Binghamton | 40c | 47.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d69…c737backed Binghamton | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…d099backed UMBC | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…da6abacked Binghamton | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…da09backed Binghamton | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…0e14backed Binghamton | 41c | 27.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419a…0fbebacked UMBC | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UMBC | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked UMBC | 57c | 25.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…db90backed Binghamton | 43c | 25.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3a…ed0dbacked UMBC | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…94e8backed UMBC | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…7fd4backed UMBC | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…aa94backed UMBC | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954a…c6b2backed UMBC | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6e…2f7fbacked UMBC | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e6…8a70backed UMBC | 65c | 15.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.