NHL · resolved market
AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Hartford Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x194762f7a1994b3c2399330d9acf2cc9a4a2e1bf8c18f0a2c110c3b4ac6a41a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Providence Bruinsof Providence Bruins, Hartford Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Providence Bruins | 70c | 883.13$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.2 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 29c | 500$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…8eaebacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 30c | 494$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x525f…39a1backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 30c | 409$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…83cbbacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 30c | 346$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…6448backed Providence Bruins | 71c | 252$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…0ca7backed Providence Bruins | 70c | 242$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…e6c6backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 30c | 236$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6d…bab2backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 30c | 234$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…e5a3backed Providence Bruins | 70c | 221$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…82f6backed Providence Bruins | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a76…4fe9backed Providence Bruins | 70c | 188$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…f3efbacked Providence Bruins | 70c | 146$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…a03abacked Providence Bruins | 70c | 132$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Providence Bruins | 71c | 120.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…08c7backed Providence Bruins | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…5331backed Providence Bruins | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 31c | 111.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a32…1110backed Providence Bruins | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 29c | 63.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 29c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 28c | 38.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…ba46backed Providence Bruins | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…351fbacked Providence Bruins | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.