Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Tech vs. Southern Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x196a6af89524192cb5dd8005c59cb93afe03057388abfa5c9935fba7e4cab3cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Utahof Utah Tech, Southern Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Utah Tech | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Southern Utah | 61c | 231.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah Tech | 39c | 225.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…37b3backed Utah Tech | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…1327backed Southern Utah | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…0492backed Utah Tech | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…ba9fbacked Southern Utah | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…30c7backed Utah Tech | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…7960backed Southern Utah | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c2…b254backed Utah Tech | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…5960backed Southern Utah | 54c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…bf64backed Southern Utah | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…dcbebacked Utah Tech | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…9f78backed Southern Utah | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…8921backed Utah Tech | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…b567backed Southern Utah | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…7969backed Utah Tech | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…282dbacked Southern Utah | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Southern Utah | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Southern Utah | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Utah Tech | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa166…f00bbacked Utah Tech | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…2740backed Utah Tech | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x343e…b855backed Southern Utah | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…f6e5backed Utah Tech | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf80…0a90backed Southern Utah | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cf…865cbacked Utah Tech | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…c800backed Southern Utah | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fa…ba0abacked Utah Tech | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570d…c1b1backed Southern Utah | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…aa47backed Utah Tech | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fe…7c0fbacked Southern Utah | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…5e7cbacked Southern Utah | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.