CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a645bc221a6ec048d2fd5d296de8e9ed99e449a23e5e504e36d2b9a2d0cf2fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed SPARTA | 48c | 1,410$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.57 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…8cc0backed SPARTA | 57c | 1,200$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 57c | 835.36$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 451.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed SPARTA | 35c | 338.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.07 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed SPARTA | 48c | 231.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.63 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 200.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed SPARTA | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked SPARTA | 44c | 158$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 149.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 138.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 116.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed SPARTA | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 90.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 71.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed SPARTA | 50c | 58.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 49.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed SPARTA | 34c | 45.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 74c | 44.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…4654backed SPARTA | 77c | 38.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 38.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 21.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group ANuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.