Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama vs. Missouri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a766a46e566df075e15986b0cb80bd5a35fd0353dab6506d0b04116cea48182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouriof Alabama, Missouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Alabama | 47c | 17,538$8,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,301 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Missouri | 59c | 10,337$6,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.89 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Missouri | 51c | 3,900$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.17 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Missouri | 62c | 1,492$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.62 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Missouri | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Alabama | 11c | 900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Missouri | 53c | 681.33$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.67 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Alabama | 36c | 669.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Missouri | 50c | 594$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Alabama | 50c | 401.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Alabama | 45c | 377.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…7bc0backed Missouri | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…324abacked Alabama | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Alabama | 33c | 125.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Missouri | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Missouri | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Alabama | 49c | 109.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Missouri | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Alabama | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Alabama | 50c | 61.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Missouri | 60c | 59.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Alabama | 51c | 34.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Alabama | 47c | 29.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3727…a850backed Alabama | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836d…23c6backed Alabama | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…8992backed Alabama | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…08efbacked Missouri | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…a2babacked Missouri | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…eafbbacked Alabama | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc71…d52abacked Missouri | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…6577backed Missouri | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…70b1backed Alabama | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…3028backed Alabama | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…1b08backed Alabama | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf181…931abacked Missouri | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…8beebacked Missouri | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…a54bbacked Missouri | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…c7ebbacked Alabama | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…aec3backed Alabama | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…98dabacked Alabama | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…ad98backed Alabama | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…0468backed Alabama | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…d65bbacked Alabama | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…bbdebacked Alabama | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb55…9a90backed Missouri | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…b261backed Missouri | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Alabama | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d5…ec9abacked Missouri | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6848…2e9fbacked Missouri | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…a136backed Missouri | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dab…b92fbacked Missouri | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…d1fcbacked Missouri | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193f…b00bbacked Missouri | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…058fbacked Missouri | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…2f69backed Missouri | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.