Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ULF Esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b54d788c2a6f59ec6345c47655224d22452c88370d4073979bc849f5f5a3b9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, ULF Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 67c | 1,510$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.65 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked ULF Esports | 33c | 961.02$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.14 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed ULF Esports | 35c | 575.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ULF Esports | 32c | 555.55$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Karmine Corp Blue | 67c | 287$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed ULF Esports | 20c | 265.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed ULF Esports | 33c | 239.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 71c | 205$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Karmine Corp Blue | 71c | 142.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed ULF Esports | 28c | 61.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Karmine Corp Blue | 72c | 51.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed ULF Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.