Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Maxime Janvier vs Emilien Demanet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ba17993b969ae332d498ee9bae37c6fc260520da35f880f5fee33e7a8c35808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emilien Demanetof Maxime Janvier, Emilien Demanet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Maxime Janvier | 33c | 6,415$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.33 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Emilien Demanet | 67c | 2,964$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.23 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Emilien Demanet | 67c | 1,858$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.12 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Emilien Demanet | 67c | 524.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Maxime Janvier | 41c | 466.08$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.32 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Maxime Janvier | 45c | 214.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Emilien Demanet | 55c | 164.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Emilien Demanet | 70c | 143.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Emilien Demanet | 59c | 105.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Maxime Janvier | 32c | 99.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Emilien Demanet | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Emilien Demanet | 71c | 94.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maxime Janvier | 44c | 88.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxime Janvier | 29c | 70.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Emilien Demanet | 53c | 59.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Maxime Janvier | 36c | 52.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Maxime Janvier | 47c | 48.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Emilien Demanet | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Emilien Demanet | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Emilien Demanet | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Emilien Demanet | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 568 | 53.9%306 W · 262 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Emilien Demanet | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Emilien Demanet | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.