Tennis · resolved market
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0a1fddd53df5c889dd5a7369202e8e5358d3d70b4de8add40563b84bf45b5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nick Hardtof Nick Hardt, Bruno Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Bruno Fernandez | 14c | 4,336$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.4 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruno Fernandez | 4c | 1,622$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Bruno Fernandez | 5c | 1,503$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Bruno Fernandez | 12c | 1,100$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Bruno Fernandez | 4c | 722.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Bruno Fernandez | 7c | 554$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Bruno Fernandez | 16c | 500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Bruno Fernandez | 12c | 410.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Bruno Fernandez | 16c | 320.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Bruno Fernandez | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Bruno Fernandez | 10c | 260.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bruno Fernandez | 8c | 178.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c2…2034backed Bruno Fernandez | 12c | 171.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd357…c7a0backed Bruno Fernandez | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…08b8backed Bruno Fernandez | 11c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Bruno Fernandez | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bruno Fernandez | 15c | 92.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bruno Fernandez | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Bruno Fernandez | 25c | 79.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4224…31fbbacked Bruno Fernandez | 18c | 77.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 221 | 38.9%86 W · 135 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Nick Hardt | 75c | 74.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Bruno Fernandez | 14c | 74.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Nick Hardt | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Nick Hardt | 77c | 22.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Nick Hardt | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.