NHL · resolved market
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c75beefee45326f17b5b6b6dae0af7dcd585ba7453d301c7a0372cfe3116b24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torpedoof Severstal Cherepovets, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Torpedo | 40c | 840.5$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.3 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 585.6$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…c8e2backed Torpedo | 39c | 256.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Severstal Cherepovets | 61c | 215.9$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 58c | 206.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Torpedo | 41c | 201.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Torpedo | 39c | 185.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Torpedo | 41c | 177.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Severstal Cherepovets | 59c | 121.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 112.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 30.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Torpedo | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 29.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…fb78backed Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 24.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.