Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: So:sweet vs Dplus (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d1f2313e8cd7ae5baec88175d5e16f04a8e96df68f58cc2aab16815df5f0ff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplusof So:sweet, Dplus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Dplus | 65c | 269.79$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked So:sweet | 33c | 124.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked So:sweet | 41c | 118.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Dplus | 66c | 83.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dplus | 58c | 72.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked So:sweet | 20c | 64.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Dplus | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed So:sweet | 42c | 50.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed So:sweet | 32c | 50.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed So:sweet | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed So:sweet | 32c | 35.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed So:sweet | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…854bbacked So:sweet | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked So:sweet | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed So:sweet | 42c | 28.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed Dplus | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0b00backed Dplus | 59c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: So:sweet vs Dplus (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: So:sweet vs Dplus - Map 1 WinnerDplus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.