MLB · resolved market
KBO Playoff: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d33c499337a8c6f0f8c0b5f8375677b46627369848760a0b012fe00a69604e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Hanwha Eagles, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x775e…6541backed LG Twins | 58c | 875.12$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.55 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 834.06$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.02 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 605.2$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.15 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 201$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 148.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked LG Twins | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked LG Twins | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…0258backed Hanwha Eagles | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed LG Twins | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.